Compendium › Bruno Breakout › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+19.23%
2 Years Return
$13,348.97
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,196.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 10%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
79.9/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
97.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
93.5/10
Raw Quality 765.0/100
× Confidence 0.10 = 73.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (10%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,834
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,196.00
Current Value
$13,348.97
Total P&L
$2,152.97
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+13.65%
Worst Trade
-5.54%
Avg Trade Return
+3.24%
Avg Hold Time
37.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,918.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,152.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,152.97
Gross Return
+19.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,196.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $290.72 38 $11,047.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $297.74 38 $11,314.12 $11,462.76 +$266.76
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $244.86 46 $11,263.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET $231.28 46 $10,638.88 $10,838.31 $-624.45
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $264.63 40 $10,585.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $300.75 40 $12,030.00 $12,283.11 +$1,444.80
(+13.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $339.16 36 $12,209.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $363.54 36 $13,087.26 $13,160.61 +$877.50
(+7.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.79 43 $13,019.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $323.18 43 $13,896.74 $14,037.46 +$876.85
(+6.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $335.54 41 $13,757.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $318.75 41 $13,068.65 $13,348.97 $-688.49
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
39d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,348.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,348.97
Total Return: +33.49%
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