Compendium › Bruno Breakout › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 11 trades executed

+11.08%
2 Years Return
$12,149.69
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,937.95
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 24.6/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,305
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,937.95
Current Value
$12,149.69
Total P&L
$1,211.74
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+15.28%
Worst Trade
-12.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.60%
Avg Hold Time
23.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$213,768.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,211.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,211.74
Gross Return
+11.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,937.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $74.45 146 $10,869.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 11:20am ET $85.70 146 $12,512.20 $12,580.36 +$1,642.41
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
32.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $97.92 128 $12,533.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 1:20pm ET $92.75 128 $11,872.13 $11,918.86 $-661.50
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
43.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $94.42 126 $11,897.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $89.18 126 $11,236.30 $11,257.74 $-661.12
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $90.47 124 $11,218.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $85.91 124 $10,652.96 $10,691.99 $-565.75
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $100.80 106 $10,684.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:35am ET $116.20 106 $12,317.09 $12,324.28 +$1,632.29
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $83.59 147 $12,287.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.17 147 $12,078.26 $12,114.81 $-209.47
(-1.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $94.19 128 $12,056.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $102.75 128 $13,152.64 $13,210.78 +$1,095.97
(+9.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.96 173 $13,140.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 173 $11,526.13 $11,596.69 $-1,614.09
(-12.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.35 158 $11,589.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 158 $12,142.30 $12,149.69 +$553.00
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,149.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,149.69
Total Return: +21.50%
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