Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 04:05:00+00 • 38 trades executed

-46.23%
2 Years Return
$4,216.50
Current Value
8%
Win Rate
$7,801.40
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 1.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,249
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$7,801.40
Current Value
$4,216.50
Total P&L
$-3,606.56
Max Drawdown
-66.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
1 / 12
Best Trade
+15.22%
Worst Trade
-8.24%
Avg Trade Return
-4.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$141,257.82
Estimated Fees
$353.14
Gross P&L
$-3,606.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,959.70
Gross Return
-46.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-50.76%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,801.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:35pm ET $0.00001908 408,878,407 $7,801.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2024 12:20pm ET $0.00001808 408,878,407 $7,392.52 $7,354.54 $-446.86
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2024 9:15am ET $0.00002787 263,887,334 $7,354.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2024 9:30am ET $0.00002583 263,887,334 $6,816.21 $6,780.78 $-573.76
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 10:10am ET $0.00002664 254,533,784 $6,780.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 5:45am ET $0.00002511 254,533,784 $6,391.34 $6,358.41 $-422.37
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:20am ET $0.00002794 227,573,729 $6,358.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 10:00am ET $0.00002652 227,573,729 $6,035.26 $6,004.27 $-354.14
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 22, 2024 9:30pm ET $0.00002719 220,826,407 $6,004.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 23, 2024 11:25am ET $0.00002583 220,826,407 $5,703.95 $5,674.68 $-329.59
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2024 8:00pm ET $0.00002902 195,543,763 $5,674.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $0.00002663 195,543,763 $5,207.33 $5,180.13 $-494.55
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 7:10pm ET $0.00002987 173,422,497 $5,180.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 3:35pm ET $0.00002830 173,422,497 $4,907.86 $4,882.64 $-297.49
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 8:30am ET $0.00002177 224,282,958 $4,882.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2025 6:30am ET $0.00002067 224,282,958 $4,635.93 $4,612.13 $-270.51
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:35am ET $0.00001304 353,690,951 $4,612.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 11:25am ET $0.00001235 353,690,951 $4,368.08 $4,345.63 $-266.50
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2025 11:30am ET $0.00001311 331,474,447 $4,345.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 8:30am ET $0.00001245 331,474,447 $4,126.86 $4,105.68 $-239.95
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $0.00001150 357,015,652 $4,105.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 2:20pm ET $0.00001325 357,015,652 $4,730.46 $4,708.37 +$602.69
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000928 507,367,457 $4,708.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000881 507,367,457 $4,469.91 $4,446.96 $-261.41
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.00000521 853,543,186 $4,446.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $0.00000494 853,543,186 $4,216.50 $4,216.50 $-252.12
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,216.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,783.50
Total Return: -57.84%
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