Compendium › Bruno Breakout › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 19 trades in period

-2.37%
Year to Date Return
$10,898.38
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$11,163.49
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:02:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,163.49
Current Value
$10,898.38
Period P&L
$-265.11
Max Drawdown
-41.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
6 / 13
Best Trade
+19.43%
Worst Trade
-11.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$454,515.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-265.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-265.11
Gross Return
-2.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,163.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $205.54 52 $10,688.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 52 $12,306.58 $12,342.55 +$1,618.49
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $238.65 51 $12,171.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 51 $10,794.66 $10,966.06 $-1,376.49
(-11.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $201.40 54 $10,875.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.35 54 $11,520.90 $11,611.36 +$645.30
(+5.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $211.55 54 $11,423.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.93 54 $10,795.95 $10,983.61 $-627.75
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 55 $10,881.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 55 $12,780.35 $12,882.21 +$1,898.60
(+17.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 48 $12,716.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $305.71 48 $14,674.08 $14,839.65 +$1,957.44
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 34 $14,511.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $404.50 34 $13,753.00 $14,081.45 $-758.20
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
8 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 33 $14,006.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $399.48 33 $13,182.84 $13,258.06 $-823.39
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 28 $13,156.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $540.51 28 $15,134.14 $15,235.84 +$1,977.78
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $535.75 28 $15,001.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $508.10 28 $14,226.80 $14,461.64 $-774.20
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 26 $14,153.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $507.75 26 $13,201.50 $13,509.52 $-952.12
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $558.33 24 $13,399.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $527.99 24 $12,671.88 $12,781.48 $-728.04
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $537.96 23 $12,373.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $508.84 23 $11,703.29 $12,111.69 $-669.79
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 23 $11,896.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $488.98 23 $11,246.54 $11,461.71 $-649.98
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 22 $11,208.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $483.84 22 $10,644.48 $10,897.74 $-563.97
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 21 $10,584.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $471.14 21 $9,894.04 $10,207.78 $-689.96
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 20 $9,776.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $462.68 20 $9,253.60 $9,685.38 $-522.40
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 20 $9,547.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $452.53 20 $9,050.60 $9,188.38 $-497.00
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 18 $8,799.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 18 $10,509.84 $10,898.38 +$1,710.00
(+19.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,898.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$898.38
Total Return: +8.98%
Back to Bruno Breakout