Compendium › Bruno Breakout › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+20.94%
Year to Date Return
$13,333.68
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,024.66
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:42

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 41.4/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,095
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
146 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,024.66
Current Value
$13,333.68
Period P&L
$2,309.02
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+17.01%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
+5.42%
Avg Hold Time
13.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,893.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,309.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,309.02
Gross Return
+20.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 146 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,024.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $298.10 36 $10,731.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $282.62 36 $10,174.32 $10,467.28 $-557.38
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 45 $10,427.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $266.73 45 $12,003.07 $12,042.95 +$1,575.67
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $321.32 37 $11,888.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $304.50 37 $11,266.50 $11,420.61 $-622.34
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $261.50 43 $11,244.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.99 43 $13,157.57 $13,333.68 +$1,913.07
(+17.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,333.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,333.68
Total Return: +33.34%
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