Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-3.73%
Year to Date Return
$8,236.84
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,556.08
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.2/10
Raw Quality 2.2/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 1.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,556.08
Current Value
$8,236.84
Period P&L
$-319.24
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+7.65%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
19.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,831.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-319.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-319.24
Gross Return
-3.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,556.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.21 72 $8,511.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.42 72 $8,453.88 $8,498.84 $-57.24
(-0.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $120.86 70 $8,460.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $114.80 70 $8,036.00 $8,074.64 $-424.20
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.45 68 $8,054.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $112.35 68 $7,639.46 $7,659.50 $-415.14
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $117.96 64 $7,549.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $126.98 64 $8,126.72 $8,236.84 +$577.34
(+7.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,236.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,763.16
Total Return: -17.63%
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