Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 21 trades in period

+66.85%
Year to Date Return
$32,241.03
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$19,323.69
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
19.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 42.8/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,323.69
Current Value
$32,241.03
Period P&L
$12,917.34
Max Drawdown
-54.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
9 / 12
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+3.51%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,166,144.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,917.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,917.34
Gross Return
+66.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+66.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $19,323.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 67 $17,454.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 67 $20,273.53 $20,455.32 +$2,819.36
(+16.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $325.68 62 $20,192.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $377.51 62 $23,405.31 $23,668.47 +$3,213.15
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 55 $23,362.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 55 $22,022.88 $22,328.45 $-1,340.02
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $391.35 57 $22,306.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $371.56 57 $21,179.19 $21,200.69 $-1,127.76
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 47 $20,987.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 47 $19,928.00 $20,141.31 $-1,059.38
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 57 $19,851.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 57 $23,608.54 $23,897.89 +$3,756.58
(+18.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 54 $23,544.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 54 $27,124.47 $27,478.36 +$3,580.47
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 52 $27,424.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 52 $31,687.24 $31,740.80 +$4,262.44
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $679.00 46 $31,234.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 46 $36,420.27 $36,927.07 +$5,186.27
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 45 $36,495.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 45 $32,929.20 $33,361.18 $-3,565.89
(-9.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 40 $32,898.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 40 $38,238.40 $38,701.18 +$5,340.00
(+16.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 38 $38,361.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $953.80 38 $36,244.40 $36,584.58 $-2,116.60
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 38 $35,653.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 38 $33,808.60 $34,739.30 $-1,845.28
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.02 32 $33,760.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.80 32 $31,769.60 $32,748.26 $-1,991.04
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 32 $32,111.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 32 $29,362.24 $29,998.66 $-2,749.60
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 29 $29,359.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 29 $27,891.62 $28,530.39 $-1,468.27
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 29 $28,352.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $921.45 29 $26,721.91 $26,899.31 $-1,631.08
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 28 $26,070.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $880.38 28 $24,650.57 $25,479.78 $-1,419.53
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 27 $24,774.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 27 $23,531.44 $24,236.70 $-1,243.08
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 28 $24,128.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 28 $28,000.00 $28,107.98 +$3,871.28
(+16.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 29 $27,444.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,088.87 29 $31,577.19 $32,241.03 +$4,133.05
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,241.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,241.03
Total Return: +222.41%
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