Compendium › Bruno Breakout › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+3.36%
Year to Date Return
$23,556.93
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$22,792.04
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.7/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 50.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$22,792.04
Current Value
$23,556.93
Period P&L
$764.89
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.29%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
+1.54%
Avg Hold Time
18.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,985.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$764.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$764.89
Gross Return
+3.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $22,792.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $187.12 121 $22,641.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $177.65 121 $21,496.25 $21,646.77 $-1,145.27
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 117 $21,598.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 117 $24,900.52 $24,949.09 +$3,302.32
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $222.06 112 $24,870.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $209.63 112 $23,478.56 $23,556.93 $-1,392.16
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,556.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,556.93
Total Return: +135.57%
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