Compendium › Bruno Breakout › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.78%
Year to Date Return
$8,257.01
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,318.20
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:49:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,953
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,318.20
Current Value
$8,257.01
Period P&L
$-148.26
Max Drawdown
-57.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+17.27%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$71,834.39
Estimated Fees
$179.59
Gross P&L
$-148.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-327.85
Gross Return
-1.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.94%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,318.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET $0.00000556 1,496,079,137 $8,318.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.00000652 1,496,079,137 $9,754.44 $9,709.25 +$1,391.05
(+17.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000635 1,529,015,748 $9,709.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.00000603 1,529,015,748 $9,219.96 $9,172.64 $-536.61
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:20am ET $0.00000292 3,141,315,068 $9,172.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $0.00000277 3,141,315,068 $8,701.44 $8,701.44 $-515.88
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $0.00000372 2,339,096,774 $8,701.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:00am ET $0.00000353 2,339,096,774 $8,257.01 $8,257.01 $-486.82
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,257.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,742.99
Total Return: -17.43%
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