Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 41.4/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 33.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,083
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$20,104.35
Current Value
$22,950.54
Period P&L
$2,846.19
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+18.78%
Worst Trade
-6.96%
Avg Trade Return
+1.81%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,550.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,846.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,846.19
Gross Return
+14.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $20,104.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $159.58 125 $19,947.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $149.90 125 $18,737.51 $18,894.11 $-1,210.24
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.62 140 $18,846.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.38 140 $19,513.20 $19,560.51 +$666.40
(+3.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $140.87 138 $19,440.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $131.07 138 $18,086.97 $18,207.42 $-1,353.09
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
38d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 126 $18,137.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $136.73 126 $17,227.35 $17,297.07 $-910.35
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.30 116 $17,202.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $140.77 116 $16,329.30 $16,423.57 $-873.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $116.83 140 $16,356.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $134.63 140 $18,848.20 $18,915.57 +$2,492.00
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 143 $18,845.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $124.07 143 $17,742.01 $17,811.61 $-1,103.96
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 140 $17,749.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $150.60 140 $21,083.30 $21,145.71 +$3,334.10
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $160.46 131 $21,020.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $184.91 131 $24,223.86 $24,349.31 +$3,203.60
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 137 $24,305.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.20 137 $22,906.40 $22,950.54 $-1,398.77
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,950.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,950.54
Total Return: +129.51%
Back to Bruno Breakout