Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 2 trades in period

-10.91%
Year to Date Return
$4,216.50
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$4,708.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 1.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,944
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$4,708.37
Current Value
$4,216.50
Period P&L
$-513.53
Max Drawdown
-66.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-83.72

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-5.06%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
-5.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$17,841.74
Estimated Fees
$44.60
Gross P&L
$-513.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-558.13
Gross Return
-10.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.85%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $4,708.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000928 507,367,457 $4,708.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000881 507,367,457 $4,469.91 $4,446.96 $-261.41
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.00000521 853,543,186 $4,446.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $0.00000494 853,543,186 $4,216.50 $4,216.50 $-252.12
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,216.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,783.50
Total Return: -57.84%
Back to Bruno Breakout