SOXL Bruno Breakout's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+63.95%
Year to Date Return
$17,962.59
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$10,956.00
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
28.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 28.1
30-Day Momentum
10
+3.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.5
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,554
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,956.00
Current Value
$17,962.59
Period P&L
$7,006.59
Max Drawdown
-44.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+22.24%
Worst Trade
-14.10%
Avg Trade Return
+2.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,530,476.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,006.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,006.59
Gross Return
+63.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+63.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,956.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 246 | $9,558.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 246 | $11,684.04 | $11,722.56 |
+$2,125.71 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 219 | $11,714.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 219 | $10,821.89 | $10,830.13 |
$-892.43 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.12 | 196 | $10,802.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 196 | $12,528.32 | $12,555.91 |
+$1,725.78 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 191 | $12,510.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $62.07 | 191 | $11,855.37 | $11,900.78 |
$-655.13 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 206 | $11,843.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.33 | 206 | $13,045.98 | $13,102.79 |
+$1,202.01 (+10.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.44 | 191 | $13,071.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.00 | 191 | $12,224.02 | $12,255.07 |
$-847.72 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 218 | $12,253.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $53.38 | 218 | $11,636.84 | $11,638.13 |
$-616.94 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.14 | 223 | $11,627.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 223 | $10,940.38 | $10,951.27 |
$-686.86 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.38 | 201 | $10,930.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.07 | 201 | $10,265.47 | $10,286.36 |
$-664.91 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 240 | $10,278.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 240 | $11,994.00 | $12,002.36 |
+$1,716.00 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 219 | $11,963.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 219 | $14,596.04 | $14,634.43 |
+$2,632.07 (+22.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.81 | 195 | $14,587.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 195 | $16,791.29 | $16,837.77 |
+$2,203.34 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 171 | $16,817.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.27 | 171 | $19,369.17 | $19,389.94 |
+$2,552.17 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.74 | 168 | $19,276.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.79 | 168 | $22,308.72 | $22,422.34 |
+$3,032.40 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 165 | $22,376.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 165 | $25,740.00 | $25,785.40 |
+$3,363.06 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.00 | 159 | $25,758.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.55 | 159 | $29,661.45 | $29,688.85 |
+$3,903.45 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.05 | 163 | $29,674.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.77 | 163 | $27,020.51 | $27,035.21 |
$-2,653.64 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.08 | 166 | $26,905.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $187.53 | 166 | $31,129.98 | $31,259.91 |
+$4,224.70 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.90 | 132 | $31,138.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $223.66 | 132 | $29,523.11 | $29,644.22 |
$-1,615.69 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.40 | 123 | $29,569.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.78 | 123 | $34,166.94 | $34,241.96 |
+$4,597.74 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.74 | 163 | $34,187.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $197.83 | 163 | $32,246.29 | $32,300.63 |
$-1,941.33 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.54 | 166 | $32,293.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $225.08 | 166 | $37,362.52 | $37,369.51 |
+$5,068.88 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.52 | 141 | $37,296.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $246.49 | 141 | $34,755.09 | $34,827.98 |
$-2,541.53 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.65 | 130 | $34,795.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.40 | 130 | $30,472.00 | $30,504.83 |
$-4,323.15 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.35 | 114 | $30,249.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $250.84 | 114 | $28,595.76 | $28,851.26 |
$-1,653.57 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.73 | 115 | $28,603.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.84 | 115 | $26,891.60 | $27,138.91 |
$-1,712.35 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.00 | 138 | $27,048.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.36 | 138 | $23,233.68 | $23,324.59 |
$-3,814.32 (-14.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.08 | 117 | $23,175.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.16 | 117 | $21,313.30 | $21,462.53 |
$-1,862.06 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.65 | 119 | $21,378.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $170.66 | 119 | $20,308.54 | $20,392.82 |
$-1,069.71 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.65 | 139 | $20,385.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $139.31 | 139 | $19,364.09 | $19,371.86 |
$-1,020.96 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.75 | 150 | $19,312.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $119.70 | 150 | $17,955.00 | $18,014.36 |
$-1,357.50 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.47 | 138 | $18,004.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $150.59 | 138 | $20,780.73 | $20,790.40 |
+$2,776.04 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.69 | 137 | $20,781.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.85 | 137 | $18,474.46 | $18,483.16 |
$-2,307.24 (-11.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.90 | 146 | $18,381.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $118.27 | 146 | $17,267.42 | $17,369.18 |
$-1,113.98 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.81 | 144 | $17,252.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.43 | 144 | $16,333.92 | $16,450.39 |
$-918.79 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.18 | 147 | $16,343.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $128.10 | 147 | $18,830.70 | $18,937.63 |
+$2,487.24 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.43 | 176 | $18,907.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $101.89 | 176 | $17,932.64 | $17,962.59 |
$-975.04 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,962.59
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,962.59
Total Return:
+79.63%