Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.8/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 51.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 37.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
146 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$22,565.69
Current Value
$24,429.94
Period P&L
$1,864.25
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+24.20%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+1.82%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$396,157.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,864.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,864.25
Gross Return
+8.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 146 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $22,565.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $51.62 428 $22,093.36
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $53.77 428 $23,013.56 $23,019.37 +$920.20
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 486 $23,014.53
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 486 $21,748.50 $21,753.34 $-1,266.03
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $45.06 482 $21,718.92
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $42.71 482 $20,585.50 $20,619.92 $-1,133.42
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.25 525 $20,606.25
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 525 $25,593.75 $25,607.42 +$4,987.50
(+24.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.87 442 $25,578.54
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $66.66 442 $29,463.72 $29,492.60 +$3,885.18
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 365 $29,444.55
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $76.50 365 $27,920.68 $27,968.73 $-1,523.87
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 337 $27,930.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 337 $26,525.27 $26,563.44 $-1,405.29
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 340 $26,526.80
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $71.75 340 $24,393.30 $24,429.94 $-2,133.50
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,429.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,429.94
Total Return: +144.30%
Back to Bruno Breakout