Compendium › Bruno Breakout › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+32.38%
Year to Date Return
$12,223.46
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$9,233.44
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
71.4/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
54.7/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
40.8/10
Raw Quality 287.3/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 47.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,233.44
Current Value
$12,223.46
Period P&L
$2,990.02
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.97

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+15.88%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
+8.10%
Avg Hold Time
23.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,830.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,990.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,990.02
Gross Return
+32.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,233.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $118.51 76 $9,006.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $135.59 76 $10,304.84 $10,371.92 +$1,298.46
(+14.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $141.36 73 $10,318.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.58 73 $11,065.34 $11,118.35 +$746.43
(+7.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
12.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $159.34 69 $10,994.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $151.15 69 $10,429.35 $10,553.24 $-565.11
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $142.17 74 $10,520.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $164.74 74 $12,190.76 $12,223.46 +$1,670.22
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,223.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,223.46
Total Return: +22.23%
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