ARM Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
-18.97%
2 Years Return
$14,051.04
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$17,340.16
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
22.9/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 20.0
30-Day Momentum
7
+2.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.7
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
61,253
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$17,340.16
Current Value
$14,051.04
Total P&L
$-3,289.12
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
39
Winners / Losers
10 /
29
Best Trade
+24.42%
Worst Trade
-9.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,145,209.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,289.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,289.12
Gross Return
-18.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $17,340.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $151.33 | 114 | $17,251.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $142.57 | 114 | $16,252.98 | $16,341.52 |
$-998.64 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $155.03 | 105 | $16,277.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $144.10 | 105 | $15,129.98 | $15,193.71 |
$-1,147.81 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $141.60 | 107 | $15,151.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $133.78 | 107 | $14,313.93 | $14,356.44 |
$-837.27 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $143.54 | 100 | $14,353.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 3:30pm ET | $135.90 | 100 | $13,590.00 | $13,592.94 |
$-763.50 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $154.01 | 88 | $13,552.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 9:35am ET | $144.27 | 88 | $12,696.16 | $12,736.66 |
$-856.28 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $131.88 | 96 | $12,660.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 12:50pm ET | $153.59 | 96 | $14,744.93 | $14,821.11 |
+$2,084.45 (+16.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $164.56 | 90 | $14,809.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $156.03 | 90 | $14,042.70 | $14,053.86 |
$-767.25 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $116.65 | 120 | $13,997.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $109.42 | 120 | $13,130.40 | $13,186.86 |
$-867.00 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $91.50 | 144 | $13,175.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $86.48 | 144 | $12,453.12 | $12,464.70 |
$-722.16 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $94.44 | 131 | $12,371.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $109.50 | 131 | $14,344.50 | $14,437.56 |
+$1,972.86 (+15.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $124.02 | 116 | $14,386.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.80 | 116 | $16,564.80 | $16,616.04 |
+$2,178.48 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.93 | 101 | $16,455.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $154.20 | 101 | $15,574.20 | $15,734.31 |
$-881.73 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.97 | 107 | $15,618.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $138.10 | 107 | $14,776.70 | $14,892.75 |
$-841.56 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.20 | 102 | $14,810.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $167.90 | 102 | $17,125.29 | $17,207.64 |
+$2,314.89 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $175.99 | 97 | $17,071.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $167.01 | 97 | $16,199.97 | $16,336.58 |
$-871.06 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.09 | 103 | $16,179.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $148.81 | 103 | $15,327.43 | $15,484.25 |
$-852.33 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.23 | 109 | $15,394.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET | $133.90 | 109 | $14,595.10 | $14,685.28 |
$-798.97 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.63 | 124 | $14,586.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $111.64 | 124 | $13,842.74 | $13,941.90 |
$-743.38 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.49 | 121 | $13,853.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $108.05 | 121 | $13,073.45 | $13,162.06 |
$-779.84 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.36 | 121 | $13,110.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $102.83 | 121 | $12,442.43 | $12,493.54 |
$-668.52 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.76 | 100 | $12,476.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.88 | 100 | $11,788.00 | $11,805.53 |
$-688.01 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.14 | 99 | $11,794.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.83 | 99 | $13,645.17 | $13,655.84 |
+$1,850.31 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.35 | 92 | $13,648.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.24 | 92 | $12,902.08 | $12,909.26 |
$-746.58 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.98 | 82 | $12,790.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.27 | 82 | $12,076.39 | $12,195.29 |
$-713.97 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.16 | 80 | $12,172.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.10 | 80 | $14,008.00 | $14,030.49 |
+$1,835.20 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.94 | 63 | $13,982.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.41 | 63 | $12,688.94 | $12,737.12 |
$-1,293.37 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.82 | 60 | $12,589.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $241.37 | 60 | $14,482.23 | $14,630.09 |
+$1,892.97 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.99 | 46 | $14,627.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.64 | 46 | $18,199.44 | $18,201.99 |
+$3,571.90 (+24.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.78 | 51 | $18,093.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $336.98 | 51 | $17,186.23 | $17,294.44 |
$-907.55 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.54 | 48 | $16,969.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $407.48 | 48 | $19,558.80 | $19,883.32 |
+$2,588.88 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.21 | 54 | $19,829.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $348.71 | 54 | $18,830.61 | $18,884.60 |
$-998.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.29 | 56 | $18,664.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.93 | 56 | $17,132.08 | $17,352.44 |
$-1,532.16 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.53 | 53 | $17,253.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.93 | 53 | $16,002.55 | $16,101.90 |
$-1,250.54 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.16 | 57 | $16,083.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $268.04 | 57 | $15,278.28 | $15,297.06 |
$-804.84 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.68 | 61 | $15,291.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $237.97 | 61 | $14,516.17 | $14,521.75 |
$-775.31 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.88 | 55 | $14,403.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $247.70 | 55 | $13,623.50 | $13,741.85 |
$-779.90 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.73 | 55 | $13,515.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $231.30 | 55 | $12,721.50 | $12,948.20 |
$-793.65 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.35 | 51 | $12,869.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $238.07 | 51 | $12,141.57 | $12,219.92 |
$-728.28 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.01 | 47 | $12,126.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.97 | 47 | $13,957.59 | $14,051.04 |
+$1,831.12 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,051.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,051.04
Total Return:
+40.51%