Compendium › Bruno Breakout › BIIB
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BIIB
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-17 14:50:00+00 • 8 trades executed

-8.98%
2 Years Return
$10,479.92
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$11,513.61
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-17 11:00:56

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
22
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.2
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.47%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.38%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.6
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 13%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.3/35
Total Return
24.8/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
12.7/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 75.8/100
× Confidence 0.13 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (13%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,591
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-17
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,513.61
Current Value
$10,479.92
Total P&L
$-1,033.69
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+8.86%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
14.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$143,944.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,033.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,033.69
Gross Return
-8.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,513.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 10:55am ET $169.86 67 $11,380.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 10:30am ET $161.26 67 $10,804.09 $10,937.07 $-576.54
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $118.34 92 $10,887.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $112.40 92 $10,340.80 $10,390.59 $-546.48
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $123.71 83 $10,267.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $129.06 83 $10,711.98 $10,834.64 +$444.05
(+4.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET $137.32 78 $10,710.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:50am ET $130.09 78 $10,146.63 $10,270.70 $-563.94
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $133.48 76 $10,144.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $126.01 76 $9,576.76 $9,702.98 $-567.72
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $190.74 50 $9,537.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.34 50 $9,467.00 $9,632.98 $-70.00
(-0.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.40 53 $9,561.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $196.38 53 $10,408.14 $10,479.92 +$846.94
(+8.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,479.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$479.92
Total Return: +4.80%
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