Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:24:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

14
+7.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,593
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$7,767.95
Current Value
$10,023.78
Total P&L
$2,255.83
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+21.50%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
+2.71%
Avg Hold Time
19.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$267,819.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,255.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,255.83
Gross Return
+29.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,767.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 9:30am ET $259.05 28 $7,253.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2024 10:20am ET $298.37 28 $8,354.36 $8,566.51 +$1,101.10
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $304.74 28 $8,532.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $363.84 28 $10,187.48 $10,221.27 +$1,654.76
(+19.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $253.01 40 $10,120.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:40am ET $240.23 40 $9,609.00 $9,709.87 $-511.40
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $255.00 38 $9,690.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:05am ET $293.34 38 $11,146.73 $11,166.60 +$1,456.73
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $247.30 45 $11,128.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET $234.76 45 $10,564.20 $10,602.30 $-564.30
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $255.18 41 $10,462.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $241.81 41 $9,914.07 $10,054.10 $-548.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
39.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.21 54 $9,947.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 54 $9,418.14 $9,525.17 $-528.93
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.20 51 $9,342.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:35am ET $173.96 51 $8,871.96 $9,054.18 $-470.99
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 48 $8,882.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $173.70 48 $8,337.60 $8,509.38 $-544.80
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $200.10 42 $8,404.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.82 42 $7,972.44 $8,077.68 $-431.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $155.24 52 $8,072.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $179.13 52 $9,314.50 $9,319.44 +$1,241.76
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
32d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 48 $9,145.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 48 $11,112.00 $11,286.00 +$1,966.56
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $265.56 42 $11,153.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.48 42 $10,436.19 $10,568.67 $-717.33
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $255.98 41 $10,495.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $242.69 41 $9,950.29 $10,023.78 $-544.89
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,023.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$23.78
Total Return: +0.24%
Back to Bruno Breakout