Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.6/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 43.4/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 33.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,816.89
Current Value
$18,570.39
Total P&L
$5,753.50
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+15.77%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
+2.69%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$513,538.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,753.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,753.50
Gross Return
+44.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,816.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET $288.85 43 $12,420.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 12:45pm ET $274.16 43 $11,788.88 $11,946.57 $-631.67
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $321.48 37 $11,894.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 12:50pm ET $370.36 37 $13,703.14 $13,754.85 +$1,808.28
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $402.92 34 $13,699.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:05pm ET $382.69 34 $13,011.29 $13,067.03 $-687.82
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2025 9:30am ET $390.53 33 $12,887.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $370.84 33 $12,237.56 $12,417.09 $-649.94
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $334.86 37 $12,389.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET $317.45 37 $11,745.65 $11,772.92 $-644.17
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $357.65 32 $11,444.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $411.43 32 $13,165.76 $13,493.92 +$1,721.00
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $476.48 28 $13,341.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:30pm ET $551.60 28 $15,444.82 $15,597.30 +$2,103.38
(+15.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
40.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $535.24 29 $15,521.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $507.08 29 $14,705.32 $14,780.80 $-816.50
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $474.29 31 $14,702.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $450.12 31 $13,953.57 $14,031.37 $-749.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 31 $13,812.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 31 $12,909.64 $13,128.96 $-902.41
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $447.65 29 $12,981.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $424.34 29 $12,305.86 $12,452.97 $-675.99
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $408.34 30 $12,250.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $470.40 30 $14,112.00 $14,314.77 +$1,861.80
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 29 $14,152.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $561.70 29 $16,289.30 $16,452.07 +$2,137.30
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 23 $15,982.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $659.35 23 $15,165.05 $15,635.11 $-816.96
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 86 $15,504.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET $207.87 86 $17,876.82 $18,007.85 +$2,372.74
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 92 $17,907.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $184.04 92 $16,931.68 $17,031.73 $-976.12
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $208.20 81 $16,864.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:35am ET $197.40 81 $15,989.00 $16,156.44 $-875.29
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 77 $16,016.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:35am ET $239.35 77 $18,429.95 $18,570.39 +$2,413.95
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,570.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,570.39
Total Return: +85.70%
Back to Bruno Breakout