Compendium › Bruno Breakout › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+21.01%
2 Years Return
$12,100.57
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:00:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

78
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
78.7/35
Total Return
79.5/25
Win Rate
97.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
99.1/10
Raw Quality 475.0/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 77.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,100.57
Total P&L
$2,100.57
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+15.02%
Worst Trade
-5.99%
Avg Trade Return
+3.01%
Avg Hold Time
25.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,581.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,100.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,100.57
Gross Return
+21.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $283.33 35 $9,916.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $304.49 35 $10,657.15 $10,740.60 +$740.60
(+7.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $406.94 26 $10,580.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $468.06 26 $12,169.56 $12,329.72 +$1,589.12
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $507.29 24 $12,174.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $476.92 24 $11,446.08 $11,600.84 $-728.88
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $450.65 25 $11,266.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $462.83 25 $11,570.77 $11,905.36 +$304.52
(+2.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $420.21 28 $11,765.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $434.29 28 $12,160.12 $12,299.60 +$394.24
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 30 $11,987.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $377.74 30 $11,332.20 $11,644.40 $-655.20
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $384.96 30 $11,548.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $400.17 30 $12,004.97 $12,100.57 +$456.17
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,100.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,100.57
Total Return: +21.01%
Back to Bruno Breakout