Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,441.12
Current Value
$12,422.14
Total P&L
$-18.98
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+17.99%
Worst Trade
-10.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
25.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,409.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-18.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-18.98
Gross Return
-0.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,441.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $502.51 24 $12,060.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET $545.11 24 $13,082.52 $13,463.40 +$1,022.28
(+8.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $558.89 24 $13,413.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $581.38 24 $13,953.00 $14,003.04 +$539.64
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $512.57 27 $13,839.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:50am ET $483.79 27 $13,062.20 $13,225.84 $-777.20
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $490.07 26 $12,741.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $464.86 26 $12,086.36 $12,570.38 $-655.46
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $509.78 24 $12,234.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $504.40 24 $12,105.60 $12,441.26 $-129.12
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $460.69 27 $12,438.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $543.55 27 $14,675.85 $14,678.48 +$2,237.22
(+18.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 31 $14,569.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 31 $13,818.25 $13,927.04 $-751.44
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $400.00 34 $13,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 34 $12,162.48 $12,489.52 $-1,437.52
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 35 $12,316.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $349.96 35 $12,248.77 $12,422.14 $-67.38
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,422.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,422.14
Total Return: +24.22%
Back to Bruno Breakout