Compendium › Bruno Breakout › LINKUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LINKUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 22:35:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+24.04%
2 Years Return
$14,288.27
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,519.00
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:37:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 38%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
19.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.38 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (38%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,519.00
Current Value
$14,288.27
Total P&L
$2,769.27
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+15.54%
Worst Trade
-5.37%
Avg Trade Return
+2.65%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$298,945.63
Estimated Fees
$747.36
Gross P&L
$2,769.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,021.91
Gross Return
+24.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.55%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,519.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 11:00am ET $15.56 741 $11,519.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 4:20am ET $14.77 741 $10,936.94 $10,880.80 $-638.20
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2024 4:00pm ET $26.07 417 $10,880.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 4:30pm ET $24.67 417 $10,297.74 $10,244.79 $-636.01
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:25am ET $25.71 398 $10,244.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 11:40am ET $24.33 398 $9,694.47 $9,644.63 $-600.16
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 9:40pm ET $25.89 373 $9,644.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 9:25pm ET $29.91 373 $11,143.29 $11,091.32 +$1,446.69
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2024 9:40pm ET $30.78 360 $11,091.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 12:00am ET $29.16 360 $10,507.53 $10,453.54 $-637.78
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 8:30am ET $21.16 494 $10,453.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 4:50am ET $24.37 494 $12,036.89 $11,980.66 +$1,527.12
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET $20.09 596 $11,980.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 12:30pm ET $19.03 596 $11,349.89 $11,291.57 $-689.09
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2025 10:30pm ET $18.48 611 $11,291.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 11:30am ET $17.53 611 $10,710.59 $10,655.58 $-635.99
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2025 11:30am ET $16.35 652 $10,655.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:30pm ET $15.52 652 $10,112.83 $10,060.91 $-594.67
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 4:15am ET $13.83 727 $10,060.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 3:45am ET $15.93 727 $11,589.32 $11,535.20 +$1,474.29
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $11.93 967 $11,535.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 10:40am ET $13.73 967 $13,279.54 $13,217.50 +$1,682.30
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 8:30am ET $22.33 592 $13,217.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2025 11:25am ET $25.69 592 $15,210.07 $15,139.00 +$1,921.50
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $25.90 585 $15,139.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 6:25am ET $24.57 585 $14,362.03 $14,288.27 $-850.73
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,288.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,288.27
Total Return: +42.88%
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