Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+1.15%
2 Years Return
$9,971.21
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,858.19
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
73.2/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
54.7/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
40.8/10
Raw Quality 302.0/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 43.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,103
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,858.19
Current Value
$9,971.21
Total P&L
$113.02
Max Drawdown
-8.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+15.01%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
31.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,605.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$113.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$113.02
Gross Return
+1.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,858.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $519.88 18 $9,357.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $526.83 18 $9,482.94 $9,983.29 +$125.10
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $564.87 17 $9,602.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 11:25am ET $536.62 17 $9,122.54 $9,503.04 $-480.25
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
36.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $499.97 19 $9,499.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:50am ET $575.01 19 $10,925.19 $10,928.80 +$1,425.76
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
32.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $560.26 19 $10,644.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET $565.47 19 $10,743.93 $11,027.79 +$98.99
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $528.50 20 $10,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $500.88 20 $10,017.55 $10,475.34 $-552.45
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $592.43 17 $10,071.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $562.78 17 $9,567.18 $9,971.21 $-504.13
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,971.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-28.79
Total Return: -0.29%
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