Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 28 trades executed

-26.18%
2 Years Return
$8,658.73
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$11,730.12
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:41:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,730.12
Current Value
$8,658.73
Total P&L
$-3,071.39
Max Drawdown
-40.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
6 / 20
Best Trade
+41.36%
Worst Trade
-8.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,593.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,071.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,071.39
Gross Return
-26.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,730.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2024 9:30am ET $154.62 70 $10,823.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 2:45pm ET $177.92 70 $12,454.40 $12,565.92 +$1,631.00
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
29.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $178.01 70 $12,460.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 9:35am ET $169.02 70 $11,831.42 $11,936.64 $-629.28
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $185.49 64 $11,871.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $169.93 64 $10,875.52 $10,940.80 $-995.84
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $176.88 61 $10,789.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 3:45pm ET $168.03 61 $10,249.53 $10,400.65 $-540.15
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $135.00 77 $10,394.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:05pm ET $128.12 77 $9,864.86 $9,870.89 $-529.76
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $134.52 73 $9,819.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $155.30 73 $11,336.90 $11,388.20 +$1,517.31
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $192.74 59 $11,371.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $224.07 59 $13,220.13 $13,236.67 +$1,848.47
(+16.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $230.63 57 $13,145.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 57 $18,583.14 $18,673.90 +$5,437.23
(+41.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $303.42 61 $18,508.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $287.71 61 $17,550.55 $17,715.83 $-958.07
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $293.81 60 $17,628.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 60 $16,315.80 $16,403.03 $-1,312.80
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $318.80 51 $16,258.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $298.11 51 $15,203.79 $15,348.27 $-1,054.76
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $244.28 62 $15,145.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $231.41 62 $14,347.11 $14,550.03 $-798.24
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $232.62 62 $14,422.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $220.75 62 $13,686.79 $13,814.38 $-735.65
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 66 $13,654.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 66 $12,479.28 $12,639.58 $-1,174.80
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $184.25 68 $12,529.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $174.87 68 $11,890.82 $12,001.40 $-638.18
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
34d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 66 $11,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $167.46 66 $11,052.03 $11,107.43 $-893.97
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $152.07 73 $11,100.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.87 73 $11,670.51 $11,677.14 +$569.71
(+5.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1.3d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 70 $11,620.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $157.04 70 $10,992.95 $11,050.09 $-627.05
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 73 $11,023.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $143.44 73 $10,471.12 $10,498.21 $-551.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 63 $10,495.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $191.76 63 $12,080.97 $12,084.01 +$1,585.80
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.84 52 $12,055.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $220.07 52 $11,443.64 $11,471.89 $-612.12
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 79 $11,368.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $136.45 79 $10,779.16 $10,882.95 $-588.94
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 71 $10,872.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $143.39 71 $10,180.69 $10,191.41 $-691.54
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $152.48 66 $10,063.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $144.79 66 $9,556.14 $9,683.87 $-507.54
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 57 $9,561.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $157.75 57 $8,991.75 $9,113.87 $-570.00
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 55 $9,004.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 55 $8,549.46 $8,658.73 $-455.14
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,658.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,341.27
Total Return: -13.41%
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