Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:02:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 42.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 28.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,407
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,855.93
Current Value
$16,584.32
Total P&L
$6,728.39
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+15.19%
Worst Trade
-6.66%
Avg Trade Return
+5.34%
Avg Hold Time
18.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,793.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,728.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,728.39
Gross Return
+68.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,855.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $175.15 56 $9,808.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:55am ET $201.50 56 $11,284.00 $11,331.67 +$1,475.74
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
36.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET $195.95 57 $11,168.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2024 9:40am ET $184.81 57 $10,534.17 $10,696.97 $-634.70
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
32d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $174.84 61 $10,665.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 2:50pm ET $201.10 61 $12,266.80 $12,298.53 +$1,601.56
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
29.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $158.17 77 $12,179.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $182.10 77 $14,021.70 $14,141.14 +$1,842.61
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $209.95 67 $14,066.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 12:15pm ET $197.84 67 $13,254.95 $13,329.44 $-811.70
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $187.60 71 $13,319.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $209.60 71 $14,881.60 $14,891.44 +$1,562.00
(+11.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.78 78 $14,802.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $179.88 78 $14,030.64 $14,119.24 $-772.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 93 $14,092.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $174.54 93 $16,232.68 $16,259.63 +$2,140.39
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.08 85 $16,241.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $219.87 85 $18,688.95 $18,706.78 +$2,447.15
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $344.79 54 $18,618.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $327.14 54 $17,665.83 $17,753.95 $-952.83
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 49 $17,569.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $334.69 49 $16,399.81 $16,584.32 $-1,169.63
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,584.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,584.32
Total Return: +65.84%
Back to Bruno Breakout