Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 41.4/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 33.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,396
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,602.78
Current Value
$22,950.54
Total P&L
$14,347.76
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
31
Winners / Losers
15 / 16
Best Trade
+18.78%
Worst Trade
-7.01%
Avg Trade Return
+4.19%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$939,746.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,347.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,347.76
Gross Return
+166.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+166.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,602.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET $33.37 225 $7,508.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 9:50am ET $38.47 225 $8,654.63 $8,680.41 +$1,146.38
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2024 9:30am ET $48.22 180 $8,678.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 3:55pm ET $55.51 180 $9,990.90 $9,992.61 +$1,312.20
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $59.65 167 $9,961.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:35am ET $69.18 167 $11,553.06 $11,584.12 +$1,591.51
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $79.42 145 $11,516.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 10:30am ET $74.72 145 $10,834.40 $10,902.09 $-682.03
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $83.23 130 $10,819.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2024 9:40am ET $78.85 130 $10,250.50 $10,332.81 $-569.28
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET $67.07 154 $10,328.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2025 9:30am ET $77.43 154 $11,924.22 $11,928.25 +$1,595.44
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET $103.57 115 $11,910.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $119.95 115 $13,794.25 $13,811.95 +$1,883.70
(+15.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $123.00 112 $13,776.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $116.26 112 $13,021.12 $13,057.07 $-754.88
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:30am ET $90.04 145 $13,055.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:10pm ET $85.35 145 $12,376.28 $12,378.28 $-678.79
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $89.86 137 $12,310.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $84.93 137 $11,635.41 $11,703.45 $-674.83
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $83.95 139 $11,669.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:55am ET $79.22 139 $11,011.58 $11,046.02 $-657.43
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $78.26 141 $11,034.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET $73.14 141 $10,312.74 $10,323.87 $-722.15
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $85.17 121 $10,305.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 3:00pm ET $98.03 121 $11,861.62 $11,879.92 +$1,556.05
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $99.38 119 $11,826.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 3:20pm ET $114.50 119 $13,624.91 $13,678.61 +$1,798.69
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $113.34 120 $13,600.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $130.49 120 $15,658.80 $15,736.61 +$2,058.00
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $143.15 109 $15,603.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:50pm ET $133.11 109 $14,508.99 $14,642.25 $-1,094.36
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.3d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $159.83 91 $14,544.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:35am ET $183.99 91 $16,742.64 $16,840.04 +$2,197.79
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $174.02 96 $16,705.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $201.41 96 $19,335.25 $19,469.37 +$2,629.33
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
43d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $186.44 104 $19,389.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $176.81 104 $18,388.24 $18,467.85 $-1,001.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $173.16 106 $18,354.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $163.65 106 $17,346.73 $17,460.15 $-1,007.70
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $172.41 101 $17,412.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $198.59 101 $20,057.11 $20,104.35 +$2,644.20
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $159.58 125 $19,947.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $149.90 125 $18,737.51 $18,894.11 $-1,210.24
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.62 140 $18,846.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.38 140 $19,513.20 $19,560.51 +$666.40
(+3.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $140.87 138 $19,440.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $131.07 138 $18,086.97 $18,207.42 $-1,353.09
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
38d held
25 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 126 $18,137.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $136.73 126 $17,227.35 $17,297.07 $-910.35
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.30 116 $17,202.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $140.77 116 $16,329.30 $16,423.57 $-873.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $116.83 140 $16,356.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $134.63 140 $18,848.20 $18,915.57 +$2,492.00
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 143 $18,845.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $124.07 143 $17,742.01 $17,811.61 $-1,103.96
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 140 $17,749.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $150.60 140 $21,083.30 $21,145.71 +$3,334.10
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $160.46 131 $21,020.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $184.91 131 $24,223.86 $24,349.31 +$3,203.60
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 137 $24,305.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.20 137 $22,906.40 $22,950.54 $-1,398.77
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,950.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,950.54
Total Return: +129.51%
Back to Bruno Breakout