SOFI Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 41 trades executed
+123.63%
2 Years Return
$19,060.16
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$8,523.03
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
34.9/100
× Confidence 0.80
= 28.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$8,523.03
Current Value
$19,060.16
Total P&L
$10,537.13
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
32
Winners / Losers
13 /
19
Best Trade
+16.76%
Worst Trade
-8.62%
Avg Trade Return
+3.06%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,164,907.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,537.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,537.13
Gross Return
+123.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+123.63%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,523.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $9.75 | 874 | $8,517.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 9:50am ET | $11.25 | 874 | $9,828.13 | $9,833.51 |
+$1,310.48 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $11.96 | 822 | $9,831.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $13.97 | 822 | $11,479.23 | $11,481.62 |
+$1,648.11 (+16.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $14.17 | 810 | $11,476.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 3:05pm ET | $13.44 | 810 | $10,886.40 | $10,892.02 |
$-589.60 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $14.03 | 776 | $10,886.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 3:30pm ET | $16.14 | 776 | $12,520.76 | $12,525.81 |
+$1,633.79 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $17.09 | 733 | $12,523.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:15pm ET | $16.22 | 733 | $11,889.26 | $11,891.76 |
$-634.05 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.18 | 783 | $11,882.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 12:25pm ET | $14.36 | 783 | $11,243.88 | $11,253.61 |
$-638.15 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.38 | 782 | $11,241.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $16.55 | 782 | $12,942.10 | $12,954.46 |
+$1,700.85 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.21 | 851 | $12,943.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $14.37 | 851 | $12,224.62 | $12,235.36 |
$-719.10 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.87 | 822 | $12,223.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 1:05pm ET | $14.09 | 822 | $11,581.98 | $11,594.20 |
$-641.16 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.91 | 973 | $11,583.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $13.75 | 973 | $13,373.89 | $13,384.52 |
+$1,790.32 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $10.26 | 1,304 | $13,379.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $9.63 | 1,304 | $12,557.52 | $12,562.09 |
$-822.43 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $10.30 | 1,220 | $12,559.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.89 | 1,220 | $14,499.70 | $14,501.89 |
+$1,939.80 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.66 | 1,145 | $14,499.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.68 | 1,145 | $16,810.20 | $16,812.16 |
+$2,310.27 (+15.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.42 | 1,166 | $16,807.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 1:50pm ET | $16.59 | 1,166 | $19,338.11 | $19,342.38 |
+$2,530.22 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.77 | 1,088 | $19,333.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $20.65 | 1,088 | $22,467.20 | $22,476.47 |
+$3,134.09 (+16.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.63 | 912 | $22,459.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 1:45pm ET | $23.37 | 912 | $21,308.88 | $21,325.98 |
$-1,150.49 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.15 | 921 | $21,316.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.15 | 921 | $19,479.15 | $19,488.58 |
$-1,837.40 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $22.09 | 882 | $19,478.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $25.65 | 882 | $22,619.60 | $22,629.21 |
+$3,140.63 (+16.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.17 | 832 | $22,605.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $25.74 | 832 | $21,415.68 | $21,439.45 |
$-1,189.76 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $26.60 | 805 | $21,413.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:25pm ET | $30.62 | 805 | $24,645.08 | $24,671.53 |
+$3,232.08 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.73 | 829 | $24,642.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:05pm ET | $28.21 | 829 | $23,389.82 | $23,419.33 |
$-1,252.20 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.99 | 836 | $23,399.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $26.32 | 836 | $21,999.34 | $22,019.03 |
$-1,400.30 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.31 | 836 | $21,995.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $30.30 | 836 | $25,330.80 | $25,354.67 |
+$3,335.64 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.41 | 960 | $25,353.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $25.01 | 960 | $24,010.66 | $24,011.73 |
$-1,342.94 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
34.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.19 | 1,251 | $24,006.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.12 | 1,251 | $22,670.62 | $22,675.66 |
$-1,336.07 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 1,465 | $22,663.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.86 | 1,465 | $26,164.90 | $26,177.01 |
+$3,501.35 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.51 | 1,341 | $26,162.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.51 | 1,341 | $24,821.77 | $24,835.87 |
$-1,341.14 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.50 | 1,504 | $24,823.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $15.68 | 1,504 | $23,575.20 | $23,587.55 |
$-1,248.32 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.31 | 1,363 | $23,586.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.43 | 1,363 | $22,400.90 | $22,401.74 |
$-1,185.81 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
39d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.94 | 1,182 | $22,387.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $17.88 | 1,182 | $21,128.25 | $21,142.91 |
$-1,258.83 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.55 | 1,139 | $21,128.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $17.61 | 1,139 | $20,060.75 | $20,075.10 |
$-1,067.81 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.29 | 1,161 | $20,072.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.42 | 1,161 | $19,057.82 | $19,060.16 |
$-1,014.94 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,060.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,060.16
Total Return:
+90.60%