Compendium › Bruno Breakout › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 36 trades executed

+4.61%
2 Years Return
$12,028.38
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$11,498.45
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:10:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 14.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,498.45
Current Value
$12,028.38
Total P&L
$529.94
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+21.35%
Worst Trade
-11.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$718,685.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$529.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$529.94
Gross Return
+4.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,498.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET $245.78 45 $11,059.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:50am ET $232.59 45 $10,466.55 $10,567.39 $-593.33
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET $247.15 42 $10,380.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $287.91 42 $12,092.20 $12,279.37 +$1,711.98
(+16.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $348.74 35 $12,205.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 12:20pm ET $331.10 35 $11,588.50 $11,661.97 $-617.40
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $339.62 34 $11,547.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $398.94 34 $13,563.96 $13,678.86 +$2,016.89
(+17.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $397.82 34 $13,525.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 11:25am ET $458.39 34 $15,585.26 $15,738.24 +$2,059.38
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $442.94 35 $15,502.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 9:50am ET $420.36 35 $14,712.60 $14,947.94 $-790.30
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $421.95 35 $14,768.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 10:05am ET $398.36 35 $13,942.60 $14,122.28 $-825.66
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET $415.16 34 $14,115.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 1:25pm ET $393.95 34 $13,394.42 $13,401.26 $-721.02
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $403.74 33 $13,323.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET $381.80 33 $12,599.40 $12,677.40 $-723.86
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $300.07 42 $12,602.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $284.93 42 $11,967.06 $12,041.52 $-635.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $246.82 48 $11,847.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET $234.10 48 $11,236.80 $11,430.96 $-610.56
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET $232.89 49 $11,411.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 10:00am ET $269.34 49 $13,197.66 $13,217.01 +$1,786.05
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $247.47 53 $13,115.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $233.19 53 $12,359.08 $12,460.18 $-756.83
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $241.90 51 $12,336.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET $229.59 51 $11,709.09 $11,832.37 $-627.81
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $248.33 47 $11,671.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 12:35pm ET $285.75 47 $13,430.02 $13,591.11 +$1,758.74
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $284.57 47 $13,374.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $327.51 47 $15,392.97 $15,609.23 +$2,018.12
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $352.56 44 $15,512.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $333.68 44 $14,682.13 $14,778.51 $-830.72
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $352.26 41 $14,442.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 11:05am ET $333.63 41 $13,678.83 $14,014.68 $-763.83
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $332.56 42 $13,967.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET $295.61 42 $12,415.50 $12,462.87 $-1,551.81
(-11.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET $304.34 40 $12,173.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $337.50 40 $13,499.89 $13,789.16 +$1,326.29
(+10.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.41 39 $13,626.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $424.00 39 $16,536.00 $16,698.17 +$2,909.01
(+21.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $445.47 37 $16,482.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $417.24 37 $15,437.88 $15,653.66 $-1,044.51
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $419.17 37 $15,509.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $397.21 37 $14,696.77 $14,841.14 $-812.52
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $474.97 31 $14,724.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $450.69 31 $13,971.24 $14,088.30 $-752.84
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $450.77 31 $13,973.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $426.23 31 $13,213.13 $13,327.58 $-760.72
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 36 $13,098.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.28 36 $12,430.08 $12,659.42 $-668.16
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $370.82 34 $12,607.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $352.26 34 $11,976.84 $12,028.38 $-631.04
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,028.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,028.38
Total Return: +20.28%
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