VXX Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 41 trades executed
-50.58%
2 Years Return
$4,170.80
Current Value
18%
Win Rate
$8,439.99
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality
2.0/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 1.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,863
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$8,439.99
Current Value
$4,170.80
Total P&L
$-4,269.19
Max Drawdown
-56.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
6 /
27
Best Trade
+23.37%
Worst Trade
-12.74%
Avg Trade Return
-1.75%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,129.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,269.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,269.19
Gross Return
-50.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-50.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,439.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $55.60 | 151 | $8,395.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 9:45am ET | $52.77 | 151 | $7,968.27 | $8,012.66 |
$-427.33 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $47.16 | 169 | $7,970.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $44.22 | 169 | $7,473.18 | $7,515.80 |
$-496.86 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $50.36 | 149 | $7,502.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 3:05pm ET | $47.82 | 149 | $7,125.18 | $7,138.09 |
$-377.71 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:00am ET | $44.61 | 160 | $7,137.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $51.32 | 160 | $8,211.20 | $8,211.69 |
+$1,073.60 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.30 | 181 | $8,198.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $43.01 | 181 | $7,784.81 | $7,798.10 |
$-413.59 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.60 | 167 | $7,782.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $43.59 | 167 | $7,279.03 | $7,294.93 |
$-503.17 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.11 | 151 | $7,264.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $45.69 | 151 | $6,899.19 | $6,929.51 |
$-365.42 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.40 | 132 | $6,916.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:05pm ET | $49.69 | 132 | $6,559.08 | $6,572.05 |
$-357.46 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.70 | 127 | $6,565.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $59.73 | 127 | $7,585.71 | $7,591.85 |
+$1,019.80 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.94 | 138 | $7,581.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $52.19 | 138 | $7,202.22 | $7,212.35 |
$-379.50 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.22 | 128 | $7,196.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $69.36 | 128 | $8,878.08 | $8,894.27 |
+$1,681.92 (+23.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $82.32 | 108 | $8,890.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $71.83 | 108 | $7,757.64 | $7,761.35 |
$-1,132.92 (-12.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET | $86.64 | 89 | $7,710.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $80.05 | 89 | $7,124.45 | $7,174.84 |
$-586.51 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.89 | 108 | $7,116.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.16 | 108 | $6,713.28 | $6,772.00 |
$-402.84 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.73 | 126 | $6,769.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $51.01 | 126 | $6,427.26 | $6,429.91 |
$-342.09 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.18 | 120 | $6,381.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.93 | 120 | $5,991.60 | $6,039.91 |
$-390.00 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $47.09 | 128 | $6,027.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.66 | 128 | $5,716.48 | $5,728.87 |
$-311.04 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.87 | 127 | $5,698.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 11:05am ET | $42.58 | 127 | $5,407.66 | $5,438.04 |
$-290.83 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.33 | 141 | $5,404.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.15 | 141 | $5,097.15 | $5,131.01 |
$-307.03 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $34.62 | 148 | $5,123.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $39.85 | 148 | $5,897.06 | $5,905.05 |
+$774.04 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.16 | 167 | $5,871.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:40am ET | $33.33 | 167 | $5,566.11 | $5,599.64 |
$-305.41 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.20 | 154 | $5,574.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.16 | 154 | $5,106.66 | $5,132.27 |
$-467.37 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.66 | 140 | $5,131.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $34.72 | 140 | $4,860.80 | $4,861.37 |
$-270.90 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.04 | 173 | $4,850.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $26.48 | 173 | $4,581.04 | $4,591.49 |
$-269.88 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.07 | 157 | $4,563.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $33.57 | 157 | $5,270.49 | $5,297.99 |
+$706.50 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.89 | 156 | $5,286.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $31.89 | 156 | $4,974.84 | $4,985.99 |
$-312.00 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.15 | 150 | $4,972.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $38.34 | 150 | $5,751.00 | $5,764.49 |
+$778.50 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.83 | 156 | $5,745.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $34.96 | 156 | $5,453.76 | $5,472.77 |
$-291.72 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.54 | 191 | $5,451.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.03 | 191 | $5,162.73 | $5,184.36 |
$-288.41 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.06 | 215 | $5,171.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.75 | 215 | $4,890.18 | $4,902.71 |
$-281.65 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.69 | 216 | $4,902.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $21.51 | 216 | $4,647.24 | $4,647.83 |
$-254.88 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.54 | 206 | $4,643.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $21.41 | 206 | $4,409.43 | $4,414.02 |
$-233.81 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.73 | 235 | $4,400.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.69 | 235 | $4,157.15 | $4,170.80 |
$-243.22 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,170.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,829.20
Total Return:
-58.29%