Compendium › Bruno Breakout › XLE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLE
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+22.80%
2 Years Return
$12,280.38
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

76
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
81.2/35
Total Return
91.2/25
Win Rate
95.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
87.1/10
Raw Quality 654.9/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 76.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,690
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,280.38
Total P&L
$2,280.38
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+13.82%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+3.70%
Avg Hold Time
43.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$124,976.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,280.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,280.38
Gross Return
+22.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $46.33 215 $9,960.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 11:35am ET $44.01 215 $9,461.08 $9,500.13 $-499.87
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $44.98 211 $9,490.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET $45.59 211 $9,619.49 $9,628.84 +$128.71
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $39.64 242 $9,591.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $41.02 242 $9,926.84 $9,964.01 +$335.17
(+3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $47.09 211 $9,934.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.59 211 $11,307.49 $11,336.57 +$1,372.56
(+13.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
36.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.61 196 $11,291.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $56.44 196 $11,062.24 $11,107.25 $-229.32
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.24 197 $11,078.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $62.19 197 $12,251.43 $12,280.38 +$1,173.13
(+10.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,280.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,280.38
Total Return: +22.80%
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