Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
25.0/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
10.0/10
Raw Quality 100.0/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 47.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$32,416.45
Current Value
$124,524.84
Period P&L
$92,108.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
7.60

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
9 / 0
Best Trade
+21.98%
Worst Trade
+15.01%
Avg Trade Return
+16.18%
Avg Hold Time
17.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,224,108.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$92,108.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$92,108.40
Gross Return
+284.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+284.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $32,416.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET $286.25 113 $32,346.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $329.24 113 $37,203.89 $37,336.23 +$4,857.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $328.58 113 $37,129.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $379.47 113 $42,880.10 $43,086.78 +$5,750.55
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $397.83 108 $42,965.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $457.54 108 $49,414.84 $49,536.48 +$6,449.70
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
53d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 116 $49,184.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $488.07 116 $56,616.12 $56,968.60 +$7,432.12
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $478.25 119 $56,911.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 119 $66,505.53 $66,562.42 +$9,593.82
(+16.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $649.07 102 $66,205.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 102 $80,757.99 $81,115.35 +$14,552.93
(+22.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $772.13 105 $81,073.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $889.36 105 $93,383.32 $93,425.02 +$12,309.67
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,037.80 90 $93,402.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,194.01 90 $107,460.45 $107,483.47 +$14,058.45
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.93 99 $106,813.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $1,251.06 99 $123,854.95 $124,524.84 +$17,041.37
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $124,524.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$114,524.84
Total Return: +1145.25%
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