Compendium › Crash & Dip › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+113.11%
Last Year Return
$31,737.79
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,892.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
56.7/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
96.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,301
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,892.73
Current Value
$31,737.79
Period P&L
$16,845.05
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
3.95

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+25.50%
Worst Trade
+15.04%
Avg Trade Return
+17.72%
Avg Hold Time
81.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,941.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16,845.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$16,845.05
Gross Return
+113.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+113.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $14,892.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 3:50pm ET $221.04 75 $16,577.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:25am ET $254.29 75 $19,071.75 $19,095.73 +$2,494.10
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
164.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $250.89 76 $19,067.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:25am ET $288.86 76 $21,953.36 $21,981.64 +$2,885.91
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:25am ET $278.22 79 $21,979.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 79 $27,583.58 $27,585.85 +$5,604.20
(+25.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $349.72 78 $27,278.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $402.95 78 $31,430.10 $31,737.79 +$4,151.94
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
72.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,737.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,737.79
Total Return: +217.38%
Back to Crash & Dip