Compendium › Crash & Dip › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 6 trades in period

+92.57%
Last Year Return
$148,589.13
Current Value
83%
Win Rate
$77,160.36
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:43:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
46.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
96.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$77,160.36
Current Value
$148,589.13
Period P&L
$71,428.77
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
1.28

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+17.68%
Worst Trade
-8.82%
Avg Trade Return
+11.86%
Avg Hold Time
42d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,283,647.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$71,428.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$71,428.77
Gross Return
+92.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+92.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $77,160.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2025 11:25am ET $113.62 683 $77,603.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $132.43 683 $90,449.28 $90,498.94 +$12,846.27
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
91.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:30am ET $125.96 718 $90,435.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $145.44 718 $104,426.64 $104,489.89 +$13,990.95
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
41d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 10:40am ET $143.38 728 $104,380.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $130.74 728 $95,178.72 $95,287.97 $-9,201.92
(-8.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $133.94 711 $95,231.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 1:10pm ET $154.22 711 $109,648.14 $109,704.70 +$14,416.73
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET $147.19 745 $109,656.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $173.22 745 $129,048.90 $129,097.05 +$19,392.35
(+17.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 2:20pm ET $178.49 723 $129,048.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $205.45 723 $148,540.35 $148,589.13 +$19,492.08
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
88d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $148,589.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$138,589.13
Total Return: +1385.89%
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