Compendium › Crash & Dip › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+73.27%
Last 6 Months Return
$30,377.96
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$17,532.29
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:43:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 30, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 45%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.2/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
12.7/15
Consistency
10.0/10
Raw Quality 91.9/100
× Confidence 0.45 = 41.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (45%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,520
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,532.29
Current Value
$30,377.96
Period P&L
$12,845.68
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.98

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+16.66%
Worst Trade
-10.75%
Avg Trade Return
+10.40%
Avg Hold Time
18.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,651.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,845.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,845.68
Gross Return
+73.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+73.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $17,532.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET $47.20 402 $18,974.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET $54.39 402 $21,866.59 $21,907.78 +$2,892.19
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
53.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET $56.55 387 $21,886.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $65.44 387 $25,325.24 $25,346.47 +$3,438.69
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $65.99 384 $25,338.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 384 $29,559.17 $29,567.39 +$4,220.93
(+16.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $78.44 376 $29,491.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $90.30 376 $33,951.15 $34,026.64 +$4,459.25
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $102.27 332 $33,953.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 332 $30,304.96 $30,377.96 $-3,648.68
(-10.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,377.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,377.96
Total Return: +203.78%
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