Compendium › Crash & Dip › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+208.62%
2 Years Return
$31,737.79
Current Value
88%
Win Rate
$10,283.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
56.7/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
96.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
79,066
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,283.92
Current Value
$31,737.79
Total P&L
$21,453.86
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
1.54

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
7 / 1
Best Trade
+28.19%
Worst Trade
-8.12%
Avg Trade Return
+16.11%
Avg Hold Time
79d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,363.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$21,453.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$21,453.86
Gross Return
+208.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+208.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $10,283.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 24, 2024 3:25pm ET $124.90 80 $9,992.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 11:20am ET $143.67 80 $11,493.40 $11,501.32 +$1,501.32
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
112.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 31, 2024 10:20am ET $132.82 86 $11,422.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2024 9:30am ET $170.26 86 $14,642.19 $14,721.33 +$3,220.01
(+28.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 10:20am ET $175.83 83 $14,593.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $216.00 83 $17,928.00 $18,055.86 +$3,334.53
(+22.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
176d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 10:45am ET $238.70 75 $17,902.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 12:00pm ET $219.31 75 $16,448.27 $16,601.63 $-1,454.23
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 3:50pm ET $221.04 75 $16,577.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:25am ET $254.29 75 $19,071.75 $19,095.73 +$2,494.10
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
164.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $250.89 76 $19,067.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:25am ET $288.86 76 $21,953.36 $21,981.64 +$2,885.91
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:25am ET $278.22 79 $21,979.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 79 $27,583.58 $27,585.85 +$5,604.20
(+25.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $349.72 78 $27,278.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $402.95 78 $31,430.10 $31,737.79 +$4,151.94
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
72.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,737.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,737.79
Total Return: +217.38%
Back to Crash & Dip