Compendium › Crash & Dip › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+64.34%
2 Years Return
$16,114.44
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$9,805.60
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:38:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
56.6/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
93.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 66.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,606
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,805.60
Current Value
$16,114.44
Total P&L
$6,308.84
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
1.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+15.54%
Worst Trade
-8.25%
Avg Trade Return
+10.55%
Avg Hold Time
115.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,087.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,308.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,308.84
Gross Return
+64.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $9,805.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2024 1:00pm ET $219.25 45 $9,866.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2024 9:30am ET $252.92 45 $11,381.40 $11,515.15 +$1,515.15
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
191.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $245.04 46 $11,271.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 10:45am ET $282.03 46 $12,973.38 $13,216.92 +$1,701.77
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
141d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET $279.41 47 $13,132.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:40am ET $321.33 47 $15,102.28 $15,186.93 +$1,970.01
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
151d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $386.47 39 $15,072.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $446.51 39 $17,413.83 $17,528.62 +$2,341.69
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
92d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $489.83 35 $17,144.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $449.43 35 $15,729.88 $16,114.44 $-1,414.18
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,114.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,114.44
Total Return: +61.14%
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