Compendium › Crash & Dip › GS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GS
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+100.70%
2 Years Return
$24,507.19
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$12,210.68
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:03:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
54.6/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
96.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
92.7/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
45,334
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,210.68
Current Value
$24,507.19
Total P&L
$12,296.51
Max Drawdown
-8.9%
Sharpe Ratio
18.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+17.23%
Worst Trade
+15.03%
Avg Trade Return
+15.53%
Avg Hold Time
74.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,643.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,296.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,296.51
Gross Return
+100.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+100.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $12,210.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 10:00am ET $492.17 24 $11,812.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $576.98 24 $13,847.52 $14,110.76 +$2,035.44
(+17.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
64d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET $560.50 25 $14,012.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $644.79 25 $16,119.75 $16,218.01 +$2,107.25
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 10:05am ET $650.46 24 $15,611.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:45am ET $748.53 24 $17,964.72 $18,571.69 +$2,353.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
173.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $723.00 25 $18,075.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $831.65 25 $20,791.22 $21,287.91 +$2,716.22
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
71d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $781.30 27 $21,095.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $900.53 27 $24,314.38 $24,507.19 +$3,219.28
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,507.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,507.19
Total Return: +145.07%
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