Compendium › Crash & Dip › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+95.61%
2 Years Return
$20,610.24
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,536.13
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:47:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,267
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,536.13
Current Value
$20,610.24
Total P&L
$10,074.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
29.45

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+16.53%
Worst Trade
+15.01%
Avg Trade Return
+15.63%
Avg Hold Time
127.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,314.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,074.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,074.11
Gross Return
+95.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+95.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $10,536.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 11, 2024 10:10am ET $89.57 111 $9,942.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 10:45am ET $103.01 111 $11,434.11 $11,491.84 +$1,491.84
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
181d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $97.88 117 $11,451.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET $114.06 117 $13,345.02 $13,384.90 +$1,893.06
(+16.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
74d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 9:30am ET $129.22 103 $13,309.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:45am ET $148.89 103 $15,335.67 $15,410.91 +$2,026.01
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
260d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $146.07 105 $15,337.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $169.18 105 $17,763.90 $17,837.46 +$2,426.55
(+15.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
71d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.46 111 $17,811.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $185.44 111 $20,583.84 $20,610.24 +$2,772.78
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
52d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,610.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,610.24
Total Return: +106.10%
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