Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:44:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
10.0/10
Raw Quality 96.9/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 46.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$14,513.81
Current Value
$52,910.36
Total P&L
$38,396.57
Max Drawdown
-8.5%
Sharpe Ratio
1.83

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
9 / 1
Best Trade
+17.02%
Worst Trade
-8.50%
Avg Trade Return
+13.36%
Avg Hold Time
65.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$664,083.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$38,396.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$38,396.57
Gross Return
+264.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+264.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $14,513.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2024 2:50pm ET $125.39 123 $15,422.97
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 9:35am ET $145.03 123 $17,838.69 $17,961.50 +$2,415.72
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
73.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 10:15am ET $148.42 121 $17,958.61
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET $172.46 121 $20,867.66 $20,870.55 +$2,909.05
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
468d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $185.22 112 $20,744.77
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $216.74 112 $24,274.88 $24,400.65 +$3,530.11
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $221.27 110 $24,339.84
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $254.55 110 $27,999.95 $28,060.76 +$3,660.11
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:40am ET $242.37 115 $27,871.98
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $280.78 115 $32,289.80 $32,478.59 +$4,417.83
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
42d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET $286.25 113 $32,346.25
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $329.24 113 $37,203.89 $37,336.23 +$4,857.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $328.58 113 $37,129.55
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $379.47 113 $42,880.10 $43,086.78 +$5,750.55
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $379.78 113 $42,915.14
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $436.75 113 $49,352.75 $49,524.39 +$6,437.61
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $437.59 113 $49,447.67
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 113 $45,247.01 $45,323.72 $-4,200.66
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 123 $45,182.82
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $429.02 123 $52,769.46 $52,910.36 +$7,586.64
(+16.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,910.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,910.36
Total Return: +429.10%
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