Compendium › Crash & Dip › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+110.52%
2 Years Return
$32,052.27
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$15,224.99
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:54:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$15,224.99
Current Value
$32,052.27
Total P&L
$16,827.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.28

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+41.51%
Worst Trade
+4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+16.74%
Avg Hold Time
64.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,151.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16,827.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$16,827.29
Gross Return
+110.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+110.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $15,224.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 9:40am ET $166.52 91 $15,153.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 25, 2024 3:55pm ET $173.55 91 $15,793.05 $15,913.86 +$639.73
(+4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
42.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $169.79 93 $15,790.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 11:00am ET $195.36 93 $18,168.48 $18,292.34 +$2,378.48
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 10:55am ET $185.44 98 $18,173.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $213.32 98 $20,905.36 $21,024.58 +$2,732.24
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
198d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET $230.68 91 $20,991.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $248.88 91 $22,648.08 $22,680.78 +$1,656.20
(+7.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
42.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $230.39 98 $22,578.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 98 $31,949.96 $32,052.27 +$9,371.50
(+41.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,052.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,052.27
Total Return: +220.52%
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