Compendium › Crash & Dip › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 22 trades executed

+1019.72%
2 Years Return
$148,589.13
Current Value
89%
Win Rate
$13,270.18
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:39:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
46.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
96.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,064
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$13,270.18
Current Value
$148,589.13
Total P&L
$135,318.95
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
1.56

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
17 / 2
Best Trade
+30.24%
Worst Trade
-11.64%
Avg Trade Return
+14.07%
Avg Hold Time
28.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,122,133.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$135,318.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$135,318.95
Gross Return
+1019.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+1019.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $13,270.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2024 9:35am ET $23.27 559 $13,007.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 10:10am ET $26.82 559 $14,992.44 $15,014.32 +$1,984.51
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
108d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2024 10:25am ET $27.41 547 $14,993.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $24.22 547 $13,248.34 $13,269.39 $-1,744.93
(-11.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $22.12 600 $13,269.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $26.90 600 $16,139.94 $16,140.33 +$2,870.94
(+21.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2024 1:30pm ET $27.45 588 $16,137.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2024 9:35am ET $31.82 588 $18,710.16 $18,712.83 +$2,572.50
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2024 11:40am ET $32.06 583 $18,688.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2024 2:10pm ET $36.87 583 $21,492.88 $21,517.64 +$2,804.81
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 10:10am ET $35.80 601 $21,515.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2024 2:40pm ET $41.20 601 $24,763.18 $24,765.02 +$3,247.38
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 10:20am ET $42.53 582 $24,752.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2024 9:40am ET $49.26 582 $28,669.32 $28,681.88 +$3,916.86
(+15.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:55am ET $54.25 528 $28,643.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $62.87 528 $33,195.62 $33,233.56 +$4,551.68
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 10:20am ET $59.12 562 $33,222.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:35am ET $69.18 562 $38,879.16 $38,890.09 +$5,656.53
(+17.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:55am ET $69.13 562 $38,853.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:35am ET $79.79 562 $44,841.98 $44,878.37 +$5,988.28
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 11:05am ET $73.09 614 $44,874.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 9:50am ET $84.21 614 $51,704.94 $51,709.12 +$6,830.75
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 9:30am ET $79.52 650 $51,688.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET $103.57 650 $67,320.50 $67,340.97 +$15,631.85
(+30.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
39d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 11:10am ET $100.42 670 $67,284.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:35pm ET $115.82 670 $77,596.05 $77,652.67 +$10,311.70
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2025 11:25am ET $113.62 683 $77,603.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $132.43 683 $90,449.28 $90,498.94 +$12,846.27
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
91.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:30am ET $125.96 718 $90,435.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $145.44 718 $104,426.64 $104,489.89 +$13,990.95
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
41d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 10:40am ET $143.38 728 $104,380.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $130.74 728 $95,178.72 $95,287.97 $-9,201.92
(-8.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $133.94 711 $95,231.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 1:10pm ET $154.22 711 $109,648.14 $109,704.70 +$14,416.73
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET $147.19 745 $109,656.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $173.22 745 $129,048.90 $129,097.05 +$19,392.35
(+17.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 2:20pm ET $178.49 723 $129,048.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $205.45 723 $148,540.35 $148,589.13 +$19,492.08
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
88d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $148,589.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$138,589.13
Total Return: +1385.89%
Back to Crash & Dip