Compendium › Crash & Dip › PM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PM
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+85.48%
2 Years Return
$18,794.37
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,132.87
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:45:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
98.0/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 77.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,265
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,132.87
Current Value
$18,794.37
Total P&L
$8,661.49
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
4.57

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+15.10%
Worst Trade
+7.62%
Avg Trade Return
+13.55%
Avg Hold Time
97.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,533.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,661.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,661.49
Gross Return
+85.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+85.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $10,132.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2024 10:35am ET $96.27 103 $9,915.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $103.61 103 $10,671.83 $10,756.02 +$756.02
(+7.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
43.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 11:30am ET $115.43 93 $10,734.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 2:15pm ET $132.76 93 $12,346.68 $12,367.71 +$1,611.69
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
83.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 10:30am ET $128.47 96 $12,333.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $147.75 96 $14,184.19 $14,218.78 +$1,851.07
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
97.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:55am ET $158.11 89 $14,071.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:30am ET $181.84 89 $16,183.76 $16,330.75 +$2,111.97
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
59d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $164.79 99 $16,313.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $189.67 99 $18,777.33 $18,794.37 +$2,463.61
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
205.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,794.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,794.37
Total Return: +87.94%
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