Compendium › Crasher Macro › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher Macro's Analysis

to 2026-09-25 04:25:00+00 • 22 trades executed

-3.32%
2 Years Return
$15,489.36
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$16,021.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
73.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
57.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,274
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$16,021.95
Current Value
$15,489.36
Total P&L
$-532.59
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+9.39%
Worst Trade
-7.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$246,754.20
Estimated Fees
$616.89
Gross P&L
$-532.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,149.48
Gross Return
-3.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.17%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Macro had $16,021.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET $2.40 6,672 $16,021.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 2:55pm ET $2.23 6,672 $14,859.70 $14,782.50 $-1,239.45
(-7.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:25am ET $2.09 7,078 $14,782.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:25am ET $2.08 7,078 $14,744.99 $14,671.17 $-111.33
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.10 7,002 $14,671.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.05 7,002 $14,359.57 $14,286.99 $-384.18
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2025 7:25pm ET $1.87 7,659 $14,286.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 7:25pm ET $1.91 7,659 $14,631.66 $14,559.36 +$272.37
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $1.81 8,049 $14,559.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $1.99 8,049 $15,998.55 $15,922.16 +$1,362.80
(+9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET $1.93 8,268 $15,922.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 11:35am ET $2.01 8,268 $16,623.31 $16,541.94 +$619.78
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 8:10am ET $2.34 7,077 $16,541.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 24, 2025 8:10am ET $2.35 7,077 $16,631.81 $16,548.88 +$6.94
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $2.03 8,170 $16,548.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $1.91 8,170 $15,569.65 $15,489.36 $-1,059.52
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,489.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,489.36
Total Return: +54.89%
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