Compendium › Crasher › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+10.16%
Last Year Return
$19,596.14
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$17,700.10
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
14.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 88.6/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 56.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,439
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
367 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$17,700.10
Current Value
$19,596.14
Period P&L
$1,798.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
2.46

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+6.94%
Worst Trade
+0.61%
Avg Trade Return
+3.49%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$114,288.46
Estimated Fees
$285.72
Gross P&L
$1,798.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,512.64
Gross Return
+10.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.55%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 367 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $17,700.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $183.82 96 $17,700.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 5:10pm ET $197.49 96 $19,016.39 $18,924.60 +$1,224.50
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $83.67 226 $18,924.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 10:30am ET $86.54 226 $19,573.74 $19,477.49 +$552.89
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:40am ET $93.57 208 $19,477.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:40am ET $94.14 208 $19,596.14 $19,596.14 +$20.97
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,596.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,596.14
Total Return: +95.96%
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