Compendium › Crasher › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 2 trades in period

+13.32%
Last 3 Months Return
$42,493.50
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$37,497.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 76.4/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 60.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,782
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$37,497.73
Current Value
$42,493.50
Period P&L
$4,995.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+0.78%
Worst Trade
+0.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$169,755.44
Estimated Fees
$424.39
Gross P&L
$4,995.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,571.00
Gross Return
+13.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.19%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $37,497.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $1.34 31,425 $42,130.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 6:20am ET $1.36 31,425 $42,671.48 $37,826.23 +$328.50
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,459.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,493.50 $42,493.50 $-178.36
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,493.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,493.50
Total Return: +324.94%
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