Compendium › Crasher › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 12 trades in period

+11.94%
Year to Date Return
$45,731.56
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$39,650.11
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 76.7/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,945
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$39,650.11
Current Value
$45,731.56
Period P&L
$4,734.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+10.13%
Worst Trade
-3.83%
Avg Trade Return
+1.26%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,020,623.79
Estimated Fees
$2,551.56
Gross P&L
$4,734.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,183.15
Gross Return
+11.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.51%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $39,650.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $2.28 17,357 $39,650.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $2.21 17,357 $38,398.68 $38,203.56 $-1,446.55
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.94 19,688 $38,203.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.99 19,688 $39,129.27 $38,935.94 +$732.38
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $1.88 20,736 $38,935.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $1.92 20,736 $39,840.03 $39,643.09 +$707.15
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.56 25,427 $39,643.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.60 25,427 $40,594.06 $40,393.46 +$750.37
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.53 26,382 $40,393.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.60 26,382 $42,337.81 $42,130.98 +$1,737.52
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $1.34 31,425 $42,130.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 6:20am ET $1.36 31,425 $42,671.48 $42,459.48 +$328.50
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,459.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,493.50 $42,493.50 $-178.36
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $1.14 37,197 $42,493.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00pm ET $1.15 37,197 $42,915.69 $42,915.69 +$208.67
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1.01 42,373 $42,915.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1.04 42,373 $43,920.35 $43,920.35 +$787.57
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.27 34,715 $43,920.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.39 34,715 $48,371.50 $48,371.50 +$4,220.42
(+10.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:15am ET $1.49 32,465 $48,371.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 1:15am ET $1.46 32,465 $47,551.10 $47,551.10 $-1,060.21
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.33 35,628 $47,551.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.28 35,628 $45,731.56 $45,731.56 $-2,052.75
(-3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $45,731.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$35,731.56
Total Return: +357.32%
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