Compendium › Crasher › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher's Analysis

to 2026-09-25 02:00:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+35.80%
2 Years Return
$19,596.14
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$14,358.18
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:04:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
14.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 88.6/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 56.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,550
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
732 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$14,358.18
Current Value
$19,596.14
Total P&L
$5,140.28
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.87

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+12.94%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
+4.10%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$283,050.59
Estimated Fees
$707.63
Gross P&L
$5,140.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,432.65
Gross Return
+35.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.87%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 732 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $14,358.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $206.29 70 $14,358.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 4:00pm ET $229.11 70 $15,946.50 $15,870.73 +$1,512.55
(+10.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $245.40 65 $15,870.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $251.12 65 $16,240.66 $16,160.38 +$289.65
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $181.58 89 $16,160.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 8:50pm ET $205.99 89 $18,332.84 $18,246.60 +$2,086.22
(+12.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:15pm ET $125.24 146 $18,246.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 5:15pm ET $123.23 146 $17,953.76 $17,863.26 $-383.34
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:00am ET $188.21 95 $17,863.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2025 9:00am ET $187.43 95 $17,789.23 $17,700.10 $-163.16
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $183.82 96 $17,700.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 5:10pm ET $197.49 96 $19,016.39 $18,924.60 +$1,224.50
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $83.67 226 $18,924.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 10:30am ET $86.54 226 $19,573.74 $19,477.49 +$552.89
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:40am ET $93.57 208 $19,477.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:40am ET $94.14 208 $19,596.14 $19,596.14 +$20.97
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,596.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,596.14
Total Return: +95.96%
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