Compendium › Crasher Pro › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher Pro's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 23:20:00+00 • 43 trades executed

+48.78%
2 Years Return
$14,066.70
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$9,454.45
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:24:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.5/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 62.4/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 36.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,521
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,454.45
Current Value
$14,066.70
Total P&L
$4,612.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
17 / 7
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-5.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.73%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$553,828.59
Estimated Fees
$1,384.57
Gross P&L
$4,612.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,227.68
Gross Return
+48.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.14%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Pro had $9,454.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 10:55am ET $65,364.45 0 $9,454.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 10:55am ET $67,090.61 0 $9,704.13 $9,656.23 +$201.78
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 7:15pm ET $86,688.00 0 $9,656.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 7:15pm ET $90,167.00 0 $10,043.76 $9,994.51 +$338.28
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 10:30am ET $88,788.00 0 $9,994.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2024 10:30am ET $90,463.30 0 $10,183.09 $10,132.65 +$138.14
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 5:25pm ET $93,768.00 0 $10,132.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 7, 2024 5:25pm ET $99,999.90 0 $10,806.07 $10,753.73 +$621.08
(+6.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $100,151.98 0 $10,753.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 3:40pm ET $96,642.51 0 $10,376.90 $10,324.08 $-429.65
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:40am ET $97,519.68 0 $10,324.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2025 10:40am ET $93,883.33 0 $9,939.11 $9,888.45 $-435.63
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 6:15pm ET $100,441.90 0 $9,888.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 6:15pm ET $106,044.55 0 $10,440.03 $10,389.21 +$500.76
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $93,343.30 0 $10,389.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 8:45pm ET $98,197.59 0 $10,929.50 $10,876.20 +$486.99
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 10:25am ET $86,452.73 0 $10,876.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 10:25am ET $85,589.39 0 $10,767.59 $10,713.48 $-162.72
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 8:30pm ET $81,436.20 0 $10,713.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2025 8:30pm ET $86,100.69 0 $11,327.13 $11,272.02 +$558.54
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:50am ET $90,147.72 0 $11,272.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:50am ET $88,857.94 0 $11,110.75 $11,054.79 $-217.23
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 7:20pm ET $87,350.02 0 $11,054.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2025 7:20pm ET $86,317.04 0 $10,924.06 $10,869.11 $-185.68
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:10am ET $80,113.79 0 $10,869.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 10:10am ET $82,448.32 0 $11,185.84 $11,130.70 +$261.59
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:10pm ET $84,521.10 0 $11,130.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 5:10pm ET $84,154.71 0 $11,082.45 $11,026.92 $-103.78
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 3:00am ET $74,472.80 0 $11,026.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:00am ET $77,418.04 0 $11,463.01 $11,406.79 +$379.87
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:45am ET $78,658.01 0 $11,406.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2025 11:45am ET $85,125.10 0 $12,344.63 $12,285.25 +$878.46
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET $106,316.94 0 $12,285.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 1:50pm ET $109,587.74 0 $12,663.20 $12,600.83 +$315.58
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $112,340.00 0 $12,600.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 5:10pm ET $115,481.70 0 $12,953.22 $12,889.34 +$288.51
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:40pm ET $87,744.40 0 $12,889.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 7:40pm ET $91,449.00 0 $13,433.53 $13,367.73 +$478.39
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET $86,680.30 0 $13,367.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET $89,721.80 0 $13,836.79 $13,768.78 +$401.05
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $85,205.19 0 $13,768.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 10:10am ET $81,134.00 0 $13,110.89 $13,043.69 $-725.09
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET $74,543.62 0 $13,043.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35pm ET $76,744.01 0 $13,428.72 $13,362.53 +$318.84
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $67,456.00 0 $13,362.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 10:20am ET $69,271.31 0 $13,722.13 $13,654.42 +$291.89
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $65,896.21 0 $13,654.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $68,221.15 0 $14,136.17 $14,066.70 +$412.28
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,066.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,066.70
Total Return: +40.67%
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