Compendium › Danny Dip › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.79%
Last Month Return
$6,574.87
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$6,396.13
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

14
+2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.9 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,396.13
Current Value
$6,574.87
Period P&L
$178.73
Max Drawdown
-34.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$52,041.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$178.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$178.73
Gross Return
+2.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,396.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 24 $6,372.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $279.18 24 $6,700.32 $6,723.98 +$327.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 25 $6,667.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 25 $6,422.50 $6,478.98 $-245.00
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 26 $6,279.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $253.90 26 $6,601.40 $6,800.81 +$321.83
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $254.30 26 $6,611.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $245.62 26 $6,385.99 $6,574.87 $-225.94
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,574.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,425.13
Total Return: -34.25%
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