Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

42
+11.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,264
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$212.57
Current Value
$292.74
Period P&L
$12.00
Max Drawdown
-97.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+6.67%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$6,901.31
Estimated Fees
$17.25
Gross P&L
$12.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5.25
Gross Return
+5.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.47%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $212.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 5:05am ET $7.47 35 $261.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET $7.23 35 $253.35 $253.35 $-9.77
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:40pm ET $7.10 36 $253.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $7.47 36 $266.37 $266.37 +$11.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $7.21 37 $266.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 4:40am ET $7.59 37 $280.37 $280.37 +$12.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 8:25am ET $9.06 31 $280.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $9.59 31 $296.64 $296.64 +$14.83
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 8:50pm ET $10.49 28 $296.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 9:05pm ET $10.03 28 $283.80 $283.80 $-14.29
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $9.98 28 $283.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 10:20pm ET $9.68 28 $275.21 $275.21 $-9.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 10:25pm ET $9.67 28 $275.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 7:55am ET $10.31 28 $293.57 $293.57 +$16.94
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $11.01 27 $293.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 8:15pm ET $11.58 27 $308.90 $308.90 +$13.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 9:40pm ET $11.37 27 $308.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:35am ET $10.99 27 $298.60 $298.60 $-11.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $10.77 28 $298.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 7:05pm ET $11.32 28 $313.99 $313.99 +$13.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 8:05am ET $10.86 29 $313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $10.47 29 $302.57 $302.57 $-12.96
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $10.37 29 $302.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $10.04 29 $292.74 $292.74 $-11.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $292.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,707.26
Total Return: -97.07%
Back to Danny Dip