Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 16.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,978.92
Current Value
$11,597.48
Period P&L
$-1,381.48
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,521.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,381.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,381.48
Gross Return
-10.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,978.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 71 $12,922.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $191.20 71 $13,575.20 $13,631.45 +$652.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $185.01 73 $13,505.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $179.05 73 $13,070.65 $13,196.37 $-435.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.23 72 $13,048.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $175.40 72 $12,628.79 $12,776.60 $-419.77
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $184.35 69 $12,720.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $178.66 69 $12,327.54 $12,383.65 $-392.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $183.85 67 $12,317.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $177.98 67 $11,924.77 $11,990.47 $-393.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET $168.12 71 $11,936.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $162.58 71 $11,543.18 $11,597.48 $-392.99
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,597.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,597.48
Total Return: +15.97%
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